Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.232247 0.274612 0.319823 0.371389 0.428297 0.488920 0.558116
2024-10-27 0.178254 0.235811 0.301632 0.381365 0.474240 0.577977 0.701563
2024-11-03 0.140792 0.207609 0.289113 0.393218 0.520085 0.667262 0.848473
2024-11-10 0.112540 0.184868 0.278732 0.404550 0.564025 0.755005 0.996537
2024-11-17 0.084870 0.157219 0.257564 0.398836 0.584900 0.814509 1.112132
2024-11-24 0.067096 0.139638 0.246683 0.404078 0.618257 0.889195 1.247437
2024-12-01 0.050477 0.119929 0.229597 0.398290 0.635471 0.942842 1.357037
2024-12-08 0.035783 0.099452 0.207977 0.383163 0.637902 0.976110 1.440421
2024-12-15 0.028624 0.090694 0.203145 0.391423 0.672032 1.051087 1.578332
2024-12-22 0.020591 0.077510 0.188804 0.383432 0.681874 1.092981 1.673197
2024-12-29 0.017509 0.074353 0.191302 0.401572 0.729740 1.187211 1.838541
2025-01-05 0.013117 0.066249 0.183449 0.402001 0.750906 1.244657 1.955375
2025-01-12 0.009675 0.059259 0.176906 0.404426 0.775723 1.308761 2.083987
2025-01-19 0.007654 0.055581 0.176399 0.416921 0.816201 1.395742 2.245217
2025-01-26 0.006085 0.052558 0.176745 0.430704 0.858885 1.486531 2.412935
2025-02-02 0.004754 0.049564 0.176648 0.443495 0.900199 1.575986 2.580039
2025-02-09 0.003004 0.042926 0.166997 0.437861 0.911544 1.621871 2.687061
2025-02-16 0.002072 0.039265 0.163724 0.443718 0.941372 1.695076 2.833032
2025-02-23 0.001154 0.033819 0.154762 0.437715 0.951135 1.738453 2.937288
2025-03-02 0.000464 0.027408 0.141463 0.421684 0.943044 1.754487 3.002474
2025-03-09 0.000266 0.025475 0.140495 0.430555 0.977297 1.834741 3.160198
2025-03-16 0.000076 0.021338 0.131658 0.422066 0.981052 1.868353 3.250996
2025-03-23 0.000046 0.021177 0.135698 0.441435 1.033910 1.977997 3.452867